Earthquakes are the deadliest and costliest natural catastrophes, and even moderately large events (M<7) may have devastating consequences. We cannot predict earthquakes, but we can forecast their consequences, to be prepared when they do occur. This is the topic of Seismic Hazard Assessment (SHA), that quantifies earthquake perils in terms of probability of shakings, due to future earthquakes in a region over a given period of time.
Conceptually simple, SHA suffers from too sparse and incomplete information about the seismic cycle that can be hundreds to thousands of years long. Recent worldwide earthquakes further highlighted the need to account for complex fault ruptures too, by considering potential interactions between nearby faults.
This workshop aims to advance current SHA practice, by integrating modern geological and seismological data into seismic-cycle and physics-based rupture simulations, to provide more reliable earthquake safety criteria tailored on the growth of populations and infrastructures.
Dimas Salomo Januarianto
Joanna Faure Walker
Martijn van den Ende